Episode 10: Drag My Wedding

Although I correctly predicted that Bianca del Rio would be in first place after episode 9, I did not predict that Adore Delano would beat Courtney after episode 10! I guess I’m not the Nate Silver of Drag Race. Courtney Act is now in third place!

Let’s just take a look at the progress of these three queens. During Episodes 1-3, Courtney Act and Adore Delano were kickin’ some serious booty because of their American Idol history. But they remained steady and Bianca almost caught up with Adore by Episode 4.

Top 3 Ep2-4
Top three queens, episodes 2-4

During episodes 5-6, Bianca and Adore were neck and neck.

Top 3 Ep 5-6
Top Three Queens, Episodes 5-6

And then by episode 9, Bianca beat Courtney. And at episode 10, Adore beat Courtney as well. Does this mean this is the top 3? I don’t think so. Episode 11, a fashion episode, is going to challenge the heck out of Adore-able Adore.

Top 3 Ep 7-10
Top Three Queens, Episodes 7-10

There isn’t any big news in the rest of the rankings. Bianca’s growth curve is the shape of Magnolia’s nose. Magnolia is still flat. Milk is still popular. Laganja is still unpopular.

S6E10 Totals

S6E10 Rankings

Increase in Followers (#)

  • Bianca (yet again) got the most followers (4,900).
  • Adore did surprisingly well in this episode, increasing followers by 3,500. Her popularity must be unrelated to making a straight man look pretty.
  • Courtney and DeLa are still strong contenders, each with 1,900 and 1,800 new followers, respectively.
  • Darienne is doing slightly better than all of the eliminated queens. (Go home!)

S6E10 Increase Number

S6E10 Increase Grid

Increase in Followers (%)

  • Bianca, will you ever stop?!?! She not only has the most followers, but also the most followers relative to her huge number of followers (14%). Sheesh.
  • Joslyn, this week’s eliminated queen, is in 2nd place, with a 12% increase in followers.
  • The other top queens are the usual suspects: Adore, Trinity, DeLa, Courtney, and Milk.

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S6E10 Increase Percent Grid

Prediction for Episode 11

Bianca will win because she can sew. Darienne and Adore will lip sync, and both of them will go home, because Darienne’s looks will be dull and Adore’s looks will be scrappy but trashy-fun. They’re filming the top 3 on May 6th. Double elimination!

Episode 9: Queens of Talk

RuPaul Season 6Episode 9 Rankings
Rankings: Episodes 2-9

In the Queens of Talk, our shining stars were Courtney Act and BenDeLaCreme, with the other queens struggling to succeed in this challenge. Trinity delivered the most graceful farewell of any queen ever, and Miss Joslyn surprised us with her awkward interview. Annnnd we got a peek into Bianca del Rio’s weak spot: listening.

What did this do to their Twitter rankings? There was a lot of movement this episode.

  • As I predicted, Bianca del Rio is now in 1st place, knocking Courtney Act into spot #2.
  • Joslyn Fox is now #6, pushing Darienne Lake down to #7.
  • Trinity Bonet continues to move up in the rankings to #10, politely sending Laganja Estranga into the #11 spot.

Trinity Bonet’s fan growth on Twitter is especially interesting. Her attitude shift and support for the other queens make her a strong contender for Miss Congeniality. I am curious to see how her popularity continues to grow now that she has sashayed away.

Darienne Lake has been acquiring the same number of new followers as Gia, April, and Laganja. Not exactly Miss Popularity, but I guess she didn’t come here to make friends.

S6E9 Totals

 

Polynomial vs Linear Growth

Take a moment to look at the type of growth each queen is seeing. A quick eyeball of the graph shows that some queens are experiencing polynomial growth (nice curves!) in their fan base while others are simply seeing linear growth. Our friends in the polynomial category are also the ones who have the stronger story arcs in the show: Bianca del Rio, Adore Delano, BenDeLaCreme, Joslyn Fox, and Trinity Bonet.

And holy moly, Bianca del Rio. She started off with the same number of fans as Milk and BenDeLaCreme, and has grown her Twitter fan base four-fold.

Increase in Followers (#)

S6E9 Inc #

  • Bianca del Rio and Adore Delano killed it in this episode, each with approximately 4,000 new followers.
  • BenDeLaCreme and Courtney Act are in the second tier, with 1,900 and 1,700 new followers, respectively.
  • Trinity Bonet and Joslyn Fox are in the third tier, with 1,399 and 1,115 new followers.
  • Milk is still popular after all this time. She had 900 new followers, beating Darienne Lake (467), April Carrion (462), Gia Gunn (418), and Laganja (338).
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Increase in Twitter Followers (#)

Increase in Fans (%)

S6E9 Inc %

  • Trinity’s smooth exit was fantastic for building a fan base. She gained 20% new followers this week.
  • Adore Delano increased her fan base by 15%, with Bianca del Rio closely behind at 14%.
  • Joslyn Fox did well in spite of her performance, with a 12% gain in fans.
  • Although BenDeLaCreme and Courtney Act were the top performers in this episode, they only saw a 10% and 5% increase in followers.
Screen Shot 2014-04-20 at 9.34.10 PM
Increase in Twitter Followers (%)

Episodes 7-8: Glamazonia and Queens of Comedy

I predict that Bianca del Rio will be in the #1 spot after this week’s episode. She currently trails behind Courtney Act by 600 Twitter followers, having gained 22,000 followers since episode 2. By comparison Courtney Act has gained 11,000 new followers in the same span of time.

Each episode, Miss Bianca “Tough Love” del Rio has gained more Twitter followers and a higher percentage of her existing followers than any other queen. America’s Next Drag Superstar? If the fans have a say in this.

These two episodes made Bianca shine. She helped Trinity get out of her shell and then killed it in the Queens of Comedy episode. She gained 7,300 new followers (a record!) which is a 31% increase in followers. If you’re looking for yet another reason to love Bianca del Rio, I have a nugget for you. Evidently the man who heckled BenDeLaCreme was Dave, Jinkx Monsoon’s veteran in season five. He’s the same guy that Bianca made fun of for wearing horizontal stripes in his third trimester. According to DeLa, we didn’t see sections of the routine in which Bianca annihilated Dave when she took the stage. It was Bianca’s way of saying, “I love you,” to DeLa. Hugs all around, people!

There is a correlation between what happens on the show (Good job, editors!) and the impact on Twitter followers. The last two episodes boosted the rankings for Joslyn Fox and Trinity Bonet, and pushed down eliminated queens Gia Gunn, April Carrion, Vivacious, and Kelly Mantle. If you’re on this show for exposure (ahem, Magnolia Crawford), it behooves you to stick around for the first five episodes. Even Milk, last week’s eliminated queen, is still doing well.

Our darling BenDeLaCreme had a tough couple of episodes. (I attended her hosted screening on Monday night and I just wanted to give her a big hug!) I was curious to see how she was impacted by Ru’s “By the power vested in me by me,” non-elimination. First of all, she gained 2,700 new followers, which is more than she has ever gained in the past. She consistently gains about 17% new followers, except for episode 4 (Shade the Rusical), when she gained 28% new followers. She is still ranked 4th behind Courtney, Bianca and Adore, but Courtney and Adore have the American Idol advantage. I think her performance in episode 9 (as well as Courtney’s) will strongly determine who makes the top 3.

I was also curious to see how these episodes impacted Trinity K. Bonet, our lady who has conquered her inner saboteur. She went from 13th to 11th place in the rankings, ousting Vivacious and Kelly Mantle. She also increased her followers by 25%, trailing slightly behind Joslyn (27%) and Bianca (31%). However, she only gained 1,400 new followers compared to Milk’s 1,900, Joslyn and Milk’s 2,000, and DeLa and Courtney’s 2,700ish. Trinity is certainly doing better, but I’m not convinced the fans love her yet.

Joslyn Fox is still doing well even though she was criticized for her outfits and performance in these episodes. Why? Maybe because she is so effing cute. And as Sharon Needle says:

Screen Shot 2014-04-12 at 3.20.03 PM

 

And now the numbers…

  • Tier 1: The top three are still Courtney Act, Bianca del Rio and Adore Delano. Each queen has approximately 30,000 followers.
  • Tier 2: BenDeLaCreme and Milk are still ranked 4th and 5th, respectively, with approximately 18,000 followers.
  • Tier 3: Darienne, Joslyn, Gia and April all have approximately 9,000 followers. Joslyn has moved up in ranking, from #9 to #7.
  • Tier 4: The other queens have fewer than 8,000 followers. Trinity has moved up from #13 to #11.
  • Tier Magnolia Crawford: Magnolia Crawford (4,363) trails behind Kelly Mantle (6,644) by 2,300 followers. It does suck to be eliminated first.

 

S6E78 Total

S6E78 Rank

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Increase in Twitter Followers (#)

  • Bianca “Tennis Balls” del Rio has increased her followers by 7,300. Before this episode, the most followers any queen had obtained was 3,700 (Bianca and Adore).
  • Adore Delano gained 5,400 followers.
  • DeLa and Courtney gained 2,700 and 2,600 followers respectively.
  • Joslyn Fox and Milk each gained approximately 2,000 followers.
  • Trinity K. Bonet gained 1,417 followers.
  • The other queens have gained fewer than 1,000 followers (Darienne, April, Laganja, Gia, Vivacious, Kelly, and Magnolia).

S6E78 #

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Increase in Followers (%)

  • Not only has Bianca gained the most followers, but she also had the biggest relative increase in followers (31%).
  • Joslyn Fox, Trinity Bonet, and Adore Delano have increased their followers by 27%, 25%, and 24%, respectively.
  • DeLa increased her followers by 17%.
  • Milk increased her followers by 12%.
  • The rest of the queens saw <10% increase in followers.

S6E78 %

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Season 6, Episode 6: Oh No She Betta Don’t

As I said in last week’s mini-post, Bianca del Rio has moved from 3rd place to 2nd place in RuPaul’s Twitter Race. Courtney Act and Adore Delano had an advantage at the beginning of this race, given their appearances on American Idol. While Bianca has not yet taken first place, she is consistently not only gaining the most followers each week, but the highest gain relative to her existing base.

Adore, the winner of this week’s challenge, gained significantly more followers this week than previous weeks (3,700 relative to 2,400 for episodes 4 and 5). It helps that people are falling in love with the rapport between Adore and Bianca, and I imagine this will help both of them over the course of the show. Puh-leeze let this continue to be the plot line, as opposed to the childish bullying from seasons 4 and 5.

Joslyn Fox has risen from 10th place to 9th place. She was in 12th place at the beginning of the show. Way to go, cutiepants! I <3 Joslyn Fox so much. #darkhorse #misscongeniality

One thing I haven’t mentioned in past posts is Laganja’s standing. She has dropped from 7th place to 10th place since episode 2. She has gained about 300-500 followers a week, similar to eliminated queens Kelly Mantle, Magnolia Crawford, and Vivacious.

This was not the best episode for DeLa and Milk, but their Twitter following continues to blossom.

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And now, the numbers…

Total Followers (as of 4/3/14)

  • Courtney Act (28,500) still has the most followers.
  • Bianca del Rio (23,200) lags behind by 5,300 followers. She gained 4,600 followers in one week, whereas Courtney Act gained 2,300 followers. At this rate Bianca could surpass Courtney by the end of the show.
  • Adore Delano (22,700) is still neck and neck with Bianca (23,200).
  • BenDeLaCreme (15,700) and Milk (15,300) are in what I consider the second tier of followers.
  • The rest of the queens have fewer than 10,000 followers.

S6E6 Total

 

Increase in Followers (#)

  • As I stated above, Bianca (4,600) has gained the most followers, followed closely by Adore Delano (3,700). Let the mother-daughter (stepmother-foster child) plot continue! Hugs all around.
  • Courtney Act (2,300), BenDeLaCreme (2,200) and Milk (2,000) continue to gain a hearty following, but fall into the second tier.
  • Joslyn Fox (1,332) has done well, especially relative to her total number of followers.
  • The rest of the queens gained fewer than 1,000 followers each.

S6E6 Number

 

Increase in Followers (%)

  • Bianca del Rio (25% increase) gained the most followers relative to her existing fan base.
  • Joslyn Fox is in second place, with a 21% increase in followers.
  • Adore is still doing well, with a 19% increase in followers.
  • DeLa (+16%), Milk (+15%), and Trinity (+14%) continue to build a fan base at a steady rate. Trinity still holds 13th place, but with 721 new followers, has significantly increased her relative following.

S6E6 Percent

Bianca is in second place!

As I predicted, Bianca del Rio is now in 2nd place in RuPaul’s Twitter Race.

And here is my unscientific prediction about the order of eliminations:
Trinity, Darienne, Laganja, Joslyn, Courtney. Top 3 will be DeLa, Bianca and Adore.

It’s neck and neck for Darienne and Laganja, but Darienne’s fashion isn’t as interesting and Laganja can lip sync.

Also, I’m not sure about having 3 comedy queens in the top. Courtney could replace Adore or DeLa, but Ru giggles so much when Adore speaks! And DeLa has won two challenges!