My New Best Friend!
With the goal of saturating the RuPaul Universe with as much geeky information as possible, /u/gmccl and I have formed a data alliance. He makes it look really gorgeous and I talk about it. Check out the image from last week. He calculates confessional screen time, which I’m adding to this season’s data. Data gold!! Check it out:
The Drama Unfolds
Episode 2! It’s like that moment when you get a fresh cup of tea and it’s still hot and full of so much promise. What magic do I get to experience between now and the end of this season?! When you compare storylines/screen time between this week and last week, you can see the heroes and villains emerging. Acid is evil, and Chi Chi and Thorgy are practically saints. Kim Chi and Bob are still lovable. Ru ruthlessly axed two queens.
Social Media Trends
At this point in the season, relative growth in social media followers is more meaningful now than it is later on. In this order, Chi Chi, Thorgy, Cynthia and Naomi showed the highest relative growth in followers after this episode. Chi Chi has the fewest social media followers on all three channels, BUT, Shreveport fans, she also has the highest relative growth by a landslide. 73% on Instagram, 51% on Twitter, and 115% on Facebook.
Historically speaking, we saw both high totals and high growth at the beginning of the season for Bianca, Courtney, Adore, and Pearl. Kim and Bob are following this trend, showing high totals and high relative growth on Instagram and Twitter (~30%-35%). However, they are not showing as much growth as other queens on Facebook (17% for Kim, 7% for Bob).
I wondered if Derrick Barry’s following would mirror that of Adore and Courtney. Both Adore and Courtney came into the show with a solid fan base due to American Idol, and they showed strong growth week after week. Derrick has a high placement after Episode 2 (#1 on Facebook, #3 on Instagram and Twitter), but her relative growth is among the lowest (11% on Instagram, 9% on Twitter, 8% on Facebook). Derrick’s screen time was pretty low this week. We’ll see if things picks up for her next week.
Laila and Dax did not get the usual elimination spike. This makes me think that the audience believed and agreed with Ru’s elimination. Really, ladydudes? That was so contrived. Laila and Dax were robbed. (If you want a good read on how phony it was, go read Eric Rezsnyak’s write-up.)
Thanks to /u/gmccl’s painstaking work, we now know how much time the queens are shown in confessional. Laila, Chi Chi and Kim got the most confessional time this week, while Robbie, Naomi and Derrick were rendered invisible.
- Laila appeared in confessionals for the longest amount of time this week (97 seconds) and appeared in ten confessional scenes.
- Kim Chi, who knows how this game works, hopped right into The Shade Tree and got 86 seconds of confessional time, and 8 confessional scenes.
- Chi Chi, our winner, got 73 seconds of complaining about Acid Betty.
- Acid Betty didn’t get much confessional time. We just got to hear everyone else talk about her.
I ran a poll to see how viewers perceive the queens’ edits (positive vs. negative). While Dax and Laila got elimination edits (which skew negative), the real storyline battle was between Chi Chi and Acid, with benevolent narrator Thorgy citing specific examples of what makes Acid so “difficult.”
- Chi Chi, Kim, and Thorgy got the highest positive perceived edit scores. Approximately 70% of voters said they got the most positive screen time.
- Acid, Dax and Laila got the highest negative scores in the confessional. 75% – 82% of voters said they had the most negative screen time.
- For overall score (positive votes – negative votes), Thorgy Thorgy (69.4) and Chi Chi (68.9) are essentially tied for first place, with Kim Chi at 61.4. Next in line is Bob, with a score of 30.6.
- Kim Chi still has a staggering lead, with 153K followers. Next in line is Bob the Drag Queen (79K), and Derrick Barry (64.2K).
- Rank remains unchanged from last week.
- Chi Chi DeVayne still has the fewest followers, but her following increased by 73%.
- If you look at the top graph, you can see stronger relative growth in Kim Chi, Bob, Naomi, and Thorgy.
- Kim Chi (20.7K) and Bob (15.3K) lead the Twitter pack. Kim Chi (+4.7K) and Bob (+3.5K) also gained the most new followers, at about 30% increase each.
- Derrick is in third place, but you can look at her graph and tell she is slowing down. She only gained 900 new followers, with the lowest relative increase (9%).
- Chi Chi is still ranked #12, but is showing fast growth. She had the highest relative increase in Twitter followers (51%, +1527).
- Thorgy also had a high relative increase (45%) and gained more than Chi Chi (2.6K). I get a giddy lesbian crush feeling every time I open up one of Thorgy’s social media pages and would cry in my pants if she were top 3.
- Thorgy and Cynthia moved up in rank. Thorgy moved from #7 to #6, and Cynthia moved from #11 to #10.
- Acid and Naysha moved down in rank. Acid moved from #6 to #7, and Naysha moved from #10 to #11.
- Laila is 4th place on Twitter, and performing better here than in Instagram and Facebook. I predict she will be surpassed by Thorgy and Naomi next week.
- Derrick has the largest fan base at 39K followers. She has also gained the most followers (+3010).
- Acid is in second place on Facebook, with 17K followers.
- Naomi Smalls is in 5th place, but she gained more followers than Kim, Acid, and Thorgy this week (+2,359).
- Chi Chi only gained 872 followers, but that is more than Cynthia, Naysha and Robbie, and a relative increase of 115%.
- Thorgy moved up in rank, from #10 to #8.
- Robbie moved down in rank, from #8 to #10.
- Christopher Caldwell’s (13K) account has more fans than Bob the Drag Queen’s (10.7K).
It’s too early to predict, but if I had to, I would expect Kim and Bob in the top three, with either Acid Betty (the talented villain) or Chi Chi (the underdog). Thorgy will be Miss Congeniality because of her strong-but-not-insane social media following and her level-headed, liberal arts explanation of Acid Betty’s wretched personality.
P.S. I did not get to see enough of Dax.